Gold analysis for November 18, 2016

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Since our previous analysis, gold has been trading downwards. The price tested the level of $1,202.76 in a high volume. Using the market profile on 15M time frame, I found today’s point of control at the price of $1,208.20. I found signs of a trend dynamic from bearish to bullish. Price is trading above 21SMA, which indicates strength. Besides, a down bar closed in the middle of the background is another sign of strength. Watch for potential intraday buying oppportunities. read more

Global macro overview for 18/11/2016

Global macro overview for 18/11/2016:

ECB President Mario Draghi was a keynote speaker at the 26th European Banking Congress in Frankfurt. During the speech, he assured that ECB will continue to act as warranted by using all instruments available within the mandate. He mentioned, that eurozone recovery still relies to a considerable degree on monetary policy and it has been more broad-based with less difference in economic performance across countries. Moreover, he added that inflation convergence towards 2% needs to be durable, even with a reduction in monetary accommodation. In conclusion, Mario Draghi delivered a typical speech, especially remarks about inflation expectations. Otherwise, some hawkish statements have been made many times previously regarding the eurozone recovery and ECB quantitative easing program. read more

AUD/JPY bearish move in progress

We remain bearish below major resistance at 81.91 (Fibonacci retracement, Fibonacci projection, horizontal resistance) for a further drop to 80.27 (Fibonacci retracement, horizontal overlap support, recent swing low support) as the first big level to play to. read more

NZD/USD remain bullish above key support

Price bounced above our stop loss level yesterday. We remain bullish above major support at 0.7068 (Fibonacci projection, horizontal support) where we expect a bounce from to at least the next resistance level at 0.7142 (Fibonacci retracement, horizontal resistance). read more

Global macro overview for 17/11/2016

Global macro overview for 17/11/2016:

The Crude Oil Inventories data released yesterday revealed another rise in the stockpiles. Market participants expected a decrease this week from 2432k barrels to 1267k barrels, but the figure revealed was at the level of 5274k barrels. Meanwhile, OPEC members will assemble again on November 30th in Vienna and will try again to agree on a cap in production to stabilize oil prices. Nevertheless, there are serious doubts whether the agreement will be reached as Qatar, Algeria, and Venezuela are working behind the scenes to reach a consensus. If there is no agreement again, the prices might fall even more. read more