GBP/USD: plan for the European session on February 25. Buyers of the pound are counting on good news on trade negotiations

To open long positions on GBPUSD, you need:
On Monday morning, the British pound fell. However, the bulls quickly took control of the market, forming the lower border of the ascending channel already in the North American session, which I drew attention to in my review yesterday. While trading is above the intermediate support of 1.2933, which acts as the middle of the wide side channel of 1.2890-1.2980, we can expect the pound to return to the maximum of last week in the area of 1.2978 and its update, which will lead to a test of the area of 1.3020, where I recommend taking the profits. Without such a scenario, talking about the long-term advantage of buyers will not be entirely true, especially since the beginning of trade negotiations between the UK and the EU promises to be very problematic. If the bulls do not cope with this task, most likely, the pressure on the pound will return. So, it is best to open new long positions after forming a false breakdown in the support area of 1.2889 or immediately on a rebound from the minimum of 1.2851.
To open short positions on GBPUSD, you need:
The sellers of the pound will try to…

Medium-term outlook for the fall of GBP/NZD

A reversal divergence is formed on the weekly chart using the Marlin oscillator. The price of the current candle for a short time went above the level of 2.0425 and returned under it. This level is very strong and has strategic importance. Starting from May 2010, the price reversed from it many times or accelerated after the breakdown.

Now we are seeing a price reversal from the level down. The first goal of the decline will be to support the MACD line at 1.9900, however, this is only the beginning. If a reversal does occur, the MACD line will be overcome. This will become an additional strengthening bearish factor and the price will fall to the target level of 1.8958 – until the top of May 2017. Overcoming the level opens the way to an even lower goal of 1.8274 – the minimum of July 2019.

According to the daily chart of the GBP/NZD pair, the divergence has already been formed.

As seen on the H4, a double divergence is already in effect and the Marlin oscillator – in the fall zone of the trend.The material has been provided by InstaForex Company –…

Overview of the GBP/USD pair. February 25. Traders are hoping for new information about the negotiations on trade deals

4-hour timeframe

Technical details:
Higher linear regression channel: direction – downward.
Lower linear regression channel: direction – downward.
Moving average (20; smoothed) – down.
CCI: -31.420
On February 25, the GBP/USD currency pair starts with a new round of corrective movement against the downward trend. On Friday last week, the pair’s quotes had the opportunity to gain a foothold above the moving average line, however, it did not take advantage. The new trading week opened with a gap down, which led to the resumption of the downward trend. However, at the same time, bears do not find new reasons for selling the British currency or buying the US dollar. The macroeconomic background this week will be extremely poor, so traders can only count on speeches by top officials of the UK, the European Union, or the United States on topics related to London’s trade negotiations with Washington or Brussels. Only this information can trigger serious exchange rate changes in the pound/dollar pair.
A hearing on the inflation report is scheduled for today in the UK. An event with a “high-profile” name that is unlikely to have any impact on the currency market. Also in the UK today, the CBI report on retail sales – sales volume for February,…

Japan Producer Prices Climb 2.3% On Year In January

Producer prices in Japan were up 2.3 percent on year in January, the Bank of Japan said on Tuesday. That exceeded expectations for a gain of 2.1 percent, which would have been unchanged from the previous three months. On a monthly basis, producer prices sank 0.3 percent following the flat reading in December. Individually, prices were up for transportation, communications, real estate, finance and advertising. Producer prices for all items excluding international transportation gained 2.3 percent on year and fell 0.2 percent on month. The material has been provided by InstaForex Company –…

Japan Producer Price Data Due On Tuesday

Japan is on Tuesday scheduled to release January numbers for producer prices, highlighting a light day for Asia-Pacific economic activity. Producer prices are forecast to hold steady, higher by 2.1 percent on year. Japan also will see final December figures for its leading and coincident indexes; their previous readings were 91.6 and 94.7, respectively. The material has been provided by InstaForex Company –…

What Are The Major Institutions Trading? | Weekly COT Report (24/2 to 28/2)

The COT Report shows the long and short positions of the major institutions – which currencies they are the most bullish on and which currencies they are the most bearish on. This information is very useful for swing traders who hold positions for more than a day.The currency with the strongest bullish bias would be the USD, with Institutions adding more long contracts and at the same time also reducing the amount of short contracts that they were holding onto.The currency with the strongest bearish bias would be the NZD, AUD and following behind the JPY. Institutions are currently holding more shorts and also adding alot more short positions.The best plays this week would be to:1) Long USD/JPY2) Short AUD/USD and NZD/USDThe material has been provided by InstaForex Company –…

Dollar Mostly Subdued Against Rivals

The U.S. dollar retreated after displaying some strength earlier in the session on Monday, amid rising concerns about global growth after the coronavirus spread rapidly outside China. The dollar recovered after easing into the negative territory, but was still finding it tough to move up any significantly above the flat line. The dollar index, dropped to a low of 99.11 from around 99.60, and was last seen at 99.28, up slightly from previous close. Against the Euro, the dollar was down marginally at $1.0856, recovering from $1.0874. Earlier in the day, the dollar was up more than 0.4% at $1.0808. Germany’s business confidence improved in February, reports said citing survey data from the ifo institute. The business climate index rose to 96.1 in February from 96.0 in the previous month. The score was above the forecast of 95.3. The assessment of current situation weakened from last month, while expectations improved in February. The current conditions index came in at 98.9 in February versus consensus of 98.6. At the same time, the expectations index rose to 93.4 compared to economists’ forecast of 92.1. Against British Pound Sterling, the dollar strengthened to $1.2928, gaining more than 0.2%. The Japanese Yen gained…

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