Higher linear regression channel: direction – downward.
Lower linear regression channel: direction – downward.
Moving average (20; smoothed) – upward.
The GBP/USD currency pair starts the fourth trading day of the week with a rather weak (for current realities) movement along with the Murray level of “3/8”-1.2451. Over the past few days, the pound/dollar pair has worked out this level several times, but never managed to gain a foothold above it or, on the contrary, push off from it and start a downward correction. Thus, we believe that traders have come to a certain “point of equilibrium” – the balance of supply and demand. In order for the pair to continue the upward trend or complete it, you need serious fundamental reasons or the entry of major players into the currency market with large transactions. During the past day, macroeconomic statistics from overseas could support the US dollar (as was the case with the euro currency), however, quite unexpectedly, the correlation through the US dollar was broken in the last two days. Before that, the EUR/USD and GBP/USD pairs moved almost identically with adjustments for volatility.
In principle, there is no news from the UK at the moment. Except for new reports…
The U.S. dollar stayed firm against most of its peers on Wednesday amid fears of an imminent deep recession due to the impact of the rapidly spreading coronavirus pandemic. A report from payroll processor ADP said private sector employment fell by 27,000 jobs in March in the U.S. after jumping by a downwardly revised 179,000 jobs in February. The dollar index rose to 99.84 this afternoon, but gave up much of its gains subsequently and was last seen at 99.41, up 0.35% from Tuesday’s close. Economists had expected private sector employment to plunge by 150,000 jobs compared to the addition of 183,000 jobs originally reported for the previous month. The drop was much smaller than expected but still reflects the first decrease in private sector employment since September of 2017. The Institute for Supply Management’s report showed a contraction in U.S. manufacturing activity in the month of March. The ISM said its purchasing managers index dipped to 49.1 in March after edging down to 50.1 in February. While a reading below 50 indicates a contraction in manufacturing activity, economists had expected the index to show a steeper drop to 45.0. Against the euro, the dollar strengthened to $1.0964 from $1.1041,…
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