Recently, EUR/NZD has been moving sideways at the price of 1.5020. Using the market profile in the 30M time frame, I found yesterday’s point of control at the price of 1.5125. Besides, I found a trading range between the price of 1.4997 (support) and the price of 1.5056. Watch for a breakout to confirm a further direction. If the price breaks upward, the target will be set at the price of 1.5125. If the price breaks lower, the target will be set at the price of 1.4960. I give more chances for higher price since price is out of balance according to yesterday’s profile.
Recently, EUR/NZD has been moving downwards. The price tested the level of 1.5018 in an average volume. Using the market profile in the 30M time frame, I found that price went to imbalance out of strong point of control zone in the background. Watch for selling opportunities on the pullbacks. I placed Fibonacci expansion to find potential downward targets. I found Fibonacci expansion 100% at the price of 1.4985 and Fibonacci expansion 161.8% at the price of 1.4850.
Since our previous analysis, gold has been trading upwards. As I expected, the price tested the level of $1,217.36 in an average volume. Using the market profile analysis, I found potential intraday bottoming near the price of $1,212.00 on the 15M time frame. I found a higher value area compared to Friday, which is a sign of strength. Watch for potential buying opportunities. I placed Fibonacci expansion to find potential upward targets. I got Fibonacci expansion 100% at the price of $1,218.90 and Fibonacci expansion 161.8% at the price of $1,226.80.
Global macro overview for 21/11/2016:
UK Prime Minister Theresa May said in a speech at the Confederation of British Industry’s annual conference in London that after Brexit the UK needs to be prepared to adapt and change. She stated that the underlining driving force for the Brexit vote was the people’s call for a fairer economy and this is why the big business should work with the government in order to ensure the benefits of capitalism are shared more equally. Moreover, she pledged to cut the UK corporation tax to the levels lower than US and the aim is the UK to have the lowest corporate tax rate among G20 nations. And last, but not least, she promised £2bn of investment in science and research and tax breaks for innovators after Brexit. In conclusion, some bold statements from the UK PM can not be neglected. Ambitious promises, plans and a fresh approach towards a new way of thinking for government-business relationships can make the real difference in a post-Brexit UK.
General overview for 21/11/2016:
The top for the wave b (green) has been established at the level of 1.3566 and now the market is declining towards the intraday support at the level of 1.3398. This is why the intraday support is the key level for daytraders as any breakout below it will confirm the wave c (green ) is in progress. The projected target zone for the wave c (green) is the demand zone between the levels of 1.3290 – 1.3312.
General overview for 21/11/2016:
The old top for the wave (b) (blue) has been violated and this is why the new labeling has been made. Currently, the wave c (green) has reached almost 100% expansion of the wave a (green) and this might be the reason why the top for the wave Y (brown) of the (b) (blue) is in place. The bears must break out below the intraday support and head lower towards the weekly pivot at the level of 116.99 in order to confirm this scenario.