The events of the last two weeks clearly show that investors are not ready to fully enter the market for cheaper shares of companies against the background of coronavirus. This dynamic is also fully confirmed by the behavior of the US dollar.Last week, a generally positive attitude of investors towards buying stocks of companies was noted in the markets. On this wave, government bonds of economically strong countries were sold, the demand for safe-haven currencies such as the yen and the Swiss franc, decreased, and the dollar declined significantly against major currencies. The reason for this was the announcement by the Fed, the US Treasury, and other major global Central Banks of the broadest incentive measures. But this week, the mood turned 180 degrees, already against the background of the first economic statistics coming out over the last coronavirus time. They turned out to be extremely negative for Europe and America, although on the contrary, the figures from China were optimistic.Why does the market react like that? This is due to the fact that there are reasonable expectations that until demand in Europe and North America is restored, and these are the main consumers of Chinese products, active production in the…
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Gold prices drifted lower on Wednesday, extending losses to a fourth straight session, although the downside was not much pronounced as rising coronavirus cases continued to raise concerns about growth. A stronger dollar weighed on the yellow metal. The dollar index rose to 99.80, gaining about 0.75%. It was not an entirely weak spell for the yellow metal today, as safe-haven demand pushed up prices early on in the session. Gold futures for June ended down $5.20, or about 0.3%, at $1,591.40 an ounce, after hitting a high of $1,612.40 an ounce in the Asian session. The contract, which dropped to a low of $1,576.00 around mid-morning, recovered and moved past $1,600 again before giving up gains. Silver futures for May ended down $0.172 at $13.984 an ounce, while Copper futures for May settled at $2.1745, per pound, down $0.0535 from previous close. A report from payroll processor ADP said private sector employment fell by 27,000 jobs in March in the U.S. after jumping by a downwardly revised 179,000 jobs in February. Economists had expected private sector employment to plunge by 150,000 jobs compared to the addition of 183,000 jobs originally reported for the previous month. The drop was…
Average volatility over the past 5 days: 153p (high).
The EUR/USD pair continued the downward movement on the third trading day of the week. After a short respite, the downward movement resumed, the Kijun-sen line was overcome, and the euro/dollar pair has currently worked out the Senkou Span B line, which can also not be delayed for a long time. Thus, the chances that the downward movement will continue to increase significantly during today’s trading. However, there is also reason to believe that we are now witnessing a correction against a correction. Judge for yourselves: we observed a strong drop in the currency pair in the period from March 9 to March 23, and then a strong growth from March 23 to March 27, which totaled approximately 60% of the previous fall. Now we can observe a correctional decline already against the growth of March 23–27. Given the fact that the volatility of the pair is slowly decreasing (so far 122 points have been completed so far), there really is reason to expect a smooth calm of the currency market. If this hypothesis is true, then this is great news for traders who are tired of quite…