EUR/USD has decreased a little as the USDX has bounced back after the massive drop. The pair is trading at 1.0945 and is fighting hard to increase again because the Dollar Index has found temporary resistance. The price has been moving sideways according to the H1 chart, it has also developed a Falling Wedge pattern, so an upside breakout will confirm a bullish movement on the short term.The USD could drop further if the US data disappoints again today, the Unemployment Claims could increase from 3,283K to 3,600K amid the COVID-19 epidemic effect, an unexpected increase could bring high volatility. EUR/USD will increase only if the USDX drops again, a USDX’s increase will force the pair to drop further, this scenario will happen if the US data comes in better.The EUR/USD Falling Wedge pattern is far from being confirmed, the price is trading much below the upside line and below the 38.2% retracement level. So, only a valid breakout above the 38.2% level and most important from the chart pattern will validate a further increase on EUR/USD.A potential increase will be invalidated if EUR/USD makes a downside breakout from this pattern. The bias is bearish as long as the price stays…
Higher linear regression channel: direction – downward.
Lower linear regression channel: direction – downward.
Moving average (20; smoothed) – upward.
The GBP/USD currency pair starts the fourth trading day of the week with a rather weak (for current realities) movement along with the Murray level of “3/8”-1.2451. Over the past few days, the pound/dollar pair has worked out this level several times, but never managed to gain a foothold above it or, on the contrary, push off from it and start a downward correction. Thus, we believe that traders have come to a certain “point of equilibrium” – the balance of supply and demand. In order for the pair to continue the upward trend or complete it, you need serious fundamental reasons or the entry of major players into the currency market with large transactions. During the past day, macroeconomic statistics from overseas could support the US dollar (as was the case with the euro currency), however, quite unexpectedly, the correlation through the US dollar was broken in the last two days. Before that, the EUR/USD and GBP/USD pairs moved almost identically with adjustments for volatility.
In principle, there is no news from the UK at the moment. Except for new reports…
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Gold prices drifted lower on Wednesday, extending losses to a fourth straight session, although the downside was not much pronounced as rising coronavirus cases continued to raise concerns about growth. A stronger dollar weighed on the yellow metal. The dollar index rose to 99.80, gaining about 0.75%. It was not an entirely weak spell for the yellow metal today, as safe-haven demand pushed up prices early on in the session. Gold futures for June ended down $5.20, or about 0.3%, at $1,591.40 an ounce, after hitting a high of $1,612.40 an ounce in the Asian session. The contract, which dropped to a low of $1,576.00 around mid-morning, recovered and moved past $1,600 again before giving up gains. Silver futures for May ended down $0.172 at $13.984 an ounce, while Copper futures for May settled at $2.1745, per pound, down $0.0535 from previous close. A report from payroll processor ADP said private sector employment fell by 27,000 jobs in March in the U.S. after jumping by a downwardly revised 179,000 jobs in February. Economists had expected private sector employment to plunge by 150,000 jobs compared to the addition of 183,000 jobs originally reported for the previous month. The drop was…
Average volatility over the past 5 days: 153p (high).
The EUR/USD pair continued the downward movement on the third trading day of the week. After a short respite, the downward movement resumed, the Kijun-sen line was overcome, and the euro/dollar pair has currently worked out the Senkou Span B line, which can also not be delayed for a long time. Thus, the chances that the downward movement will continue to increase significantly during today’s trading. However, there is also reason to believe that we are now witnessing a correction against a correction. Judge for yourselves: we observed a strong drop in the currency pair in the period from March 9 to March 23, and then a strong growth from March 23 to March 27, which totaled approximately 60% of the previous fall. Now we can observe a correctional decline already against the growth of March 23–27. Given the fact that the volatility of the pair is slowly decreasing (so far 122 points have been completed so far), there really is reason to expect a smooth calm of the currency market. If this hypothesis is true, then this is great news for traders who are tired of quite…