Tag Archives: forex indicators

GBP/USD 01.17.2020 – Broken bearish flag on the daily time-frrame, watch for selling on rallies with main target at 1.2960

GBP has been trading downwards. The price tested and rejected of the level of 1.3120. I see further downside on the GBP and potential re-test of 1.2960 and 1.2910. The rejection of the Bollinger middle line is the early trigger for the downside. I also found potential for bearish outside candle. My advice is to watch for selling opportunities on the rallies using the hourly/4H time-frame.MACD oscillator is showing bearish stance and reading below the zeroMajor resistance is set at the price of 1.3120.Support levels and downward targets are set at the price of 1.2960 and 1.2910.The material has been provided by InstaForex Company – www.instaforex.com…

Oil Prices Inch Up On Growth Optimism

Oil prices inched higher on Friday amid optimism that a more conciliatory approach on trade between the United States and China will help revive growth. A raft of Chinese economic data either met or beat analyst estimates, fueling hopes of an uptick in demand. Benchmark Brent crude edged up 0.3 percent to $64.81 per barrel, while U.S. crude futures were up 0.2 percent at $58.62. The formal signing of the Sino-U.S. trade agreement on Wednesday helped remove a degree of near-term uncertainty as U.S. President Donald Trump heads into a re-election campaign. Under the Phase 1 deal, China will purchase $50 billion worth of U.S. energy products over the next two years. In another development, the U.S. Senate on Thursday approved a revamp of the 26-year-old North American Free Trade Agreement that includes tougher rules on labor and automotive content. On the data front, China’s GDP data came in line with expectations and there was growth in industrial output and retail sales, suggesting the world’s second-biggest economy ended the year on a firmer note. In the whole year of 2019, China’s gross domestic product grew 6.1 percent, which was well within the target of 6-6.5 percent. The material…

EUR/USD. January 17. Overbought euro still caused a fall

EUR/USD – 4H.

As seen on the 4-hour chart, the EUR/USD pair performed a reversal in favor of the US currency and resumed the process of falling in the direction of the low level of 1.1086. A new downward trend corridor has been formed, which now points to the “bearish” mood of most traders. The reversal of quotes in favor of the US dollar occurred with some delay, I was waiting for it 1-2 days earlier. However, in this case, it turned out not so bad, and now I expect a fall to the lower line of the corridor – 1.1040 (approximate goal). A bearish divergence was also formed for the MACD indicator, which also worked in favor of the US currency. The report on inflation in the European Union was not weaker than forecasts, but not stronger than them. Inflation was 1.3% y/y in December, which remains far from the ECB’s target level, which is now 2.0% but can be lowered in the future. Now the main thing is that the information background from America does not scare off bear traders from the plan. In the US, the consumer confidence index and the level of industrial production will be released today.
Forecast…

Pound Strengthens Ahead Of U.K. Retail Sales Data

At 4.30 am ET Friday, the Office for National Statistics releases UK retail sales data. Sales are forecast to grow 0.6 percent on month in December, reversing a 0.6 percent fall in November. Ahead of the data, the pound climbed against its major rivals. The pound was worth 1.3099 against the greenback, 144.32 against the yen, 1.2643 against the franc and 0.8498 against the euro as of 4:25 am ET. The material has been provided by InstaForex Company – www.instaforex.com…

Fractal analysis for major currency pairs as of January 17

Hello, dear colleagues.
For the Euro/Dollar pair, we expect the continuation of the upward structure from January 10 after the breakdown of 1.1151. For the Pound/Dollar pair, we follow the formation of an upward structure from January 14 and the level of 1.2994 is the key support. For the Dollar/Franc pair, the price is in the correction of the downward structure from January 10 and the level of 0.9691 is the key support. For the Dollar/Yen pair, we expect the continuation of the downward cycle from January 8 after the breakdown of 110.40. For the Euro/Yen pair, we expect a resumption of the upward movement after the breakdown of 122.70 and the level of 121.80 is the key support. For the Pound/Yen pair, we expect the subsequent development of the upward cycle from January 3 after the breakdown of 144.53.
Forecast for January 17:
Analytical review of currency pairs on the H1 scale:

For the Euro/Dollar pair, the key levels on the H1 scale are 1.1204, 1.1177, 1.1151, 1.1115, 1.1087, and 1.1058. We follow the formation of the upward structure from January 10 as the main trend. We expect the upward movement to continue after the breakout of 1.1151. In this case, the goal is…

Is Euro playing cat and mouse with the dollar?

At the end of the week, the European currency cheered up, after a worthy competition with the dollar. Its classic rival for the EUR / USD pair is also on the alert, strengthening against the backdrop of the relatively successful signing of the first phase deal. Experts expect to achieve a balance in tandem, and these hopes can be justified.
According to experts, the euro tried to capitalize on the signing of an agreement between Washington and Beijing, but these actions are more reminiscent of stealth maneuvers, like a cat and mouse game. However, analysts warn that it is better not to play such games with the dollar.
Recall that on Wednesday, January 15, the leaders of the two leading powers signed a document on the first phase of the trade deal. The negotiation process associated with it lasted more than six months. According to experts, this event did not provide significant support to the greenback. The pound, on the other hand, took advantage of this and tried to break out into the leaders in the EUR/USD pair and thus teasing his rival.
According to the agreement, within two years, the Celestial Empire pledged to import a number of…

Technical analysis of EUR/USD for January 17, 2020

Overview: The EUR/USD pair:Pivot: 1.1162.Time frame: sideways.The market showed signs of instability 3 day ago. Amid the previous proceedings, the price is still trading between the levels of 1.1162 and 1.1085. The daily resistance and support are seen at the levels of 1.1162 and 1.1085 respectively. In consequence, it is recommended to be cautious while placing orders in this area. Thus, we should wait until the sideways channel has completed. The price spot of 1.1162 remains a significant resistance zone. Therefore, there is a possibility that the EUR/USD pair will move to the downside and the fall structure does not look corrective. Resistance is seen at the level of 1.1162 today. So, sell below 1.1162 with the first target at 1.1085 to test last week’s bottom. In overall, we still prefer the bearish scenario as long as the price is below the level of 1.1162. Furthermore, if the EUR/USD pair is able to break out the bottom at 1.1085, the market will decline further to 1.1038. However, it would also be sage to consider where to place a stop loss; this should be set above the second resistance of 1.1206. we still prefer a bearish scenario at this period.The material…

Simplified wave analysis of EUR/USD and GBP/JPY for January 17

EUR/USD
Analysis:
The price of the euro has been moving down since the end of last year. Judging by the wave level of the first part of the wave, a correction is formed for the entire previous trend section. In the wave structure, the middle part (B) is nearing completion.
Forecast:
Today, the formation of a reversal and the beginning of a price decline is expected. At the current session, an attempt to re-pressure the resistance is not excluded. You can wait for the start of an active downward move at the end of the day.
Potential reversal zones
Resistance:
– 1.1150/1.1180
Support:
– 1.1090/1.1060
Recommendations:
During the session, short-term purchases of euros are possible today. It is safer to refrain from trading while the rise is completed, and after confirming the reversal, look for signals to sell the pair.

GBP/JPY
Analysis:
A downward correction of the trend wave has been developing on the cross chart since mid-December. The movement structure is not complete. It is nearing the end of the middle part (B). The price is located at the upper edge of the large-scale reversal zone.
Forecast:
Over the next day, the pair’s upward trend is expected to be completed, the conditions for changing the course are formed, and the pair’s downward trend is expected to…

Trader’s Diary: EURUSD on 01/17/2020, Market condition

Correct assessment of market conditions is the key to successful trading.The truth is, if you trade a trend system in a long range, then “you will not collect bones” as they say it. Similarly, if you try to trade a counter-trend model on a strong trend, the trader will face big problems.EURUSD: On the daily chart above, the upper level of 1.1240 is clearly visible that half the trading day remains today so that the level becomes a full weekly one.So, we have a range. That means, we trade a retraceable, counter-trending model with essentially any parameters as long as there is no trend, then this will work. Simply put this way, we sell from above, we buy from below.Important: What will be a signal for a change in market conditions?Key points: Top 1.1240, Bottom 1.09990.(Why is the bottom not 1.1085? Because 1.1085 is the only daily level. Sales on the breakdown of 1.1085 are quite possible, but leaving the range is below 1.0999).The material has been provided by InstaForex Company – www.instaforex.com…

*Japan Nov Tertiary Industry Activity Yp 1.3% On Month

Japan Nov Tertiary Industry Activity Yp 1.3% On Month The material has been provided by InstaForex Company – www.instaforex.com…