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Crude Oil Futures Settle Flat

Crude oil futures failed to hold early gains and settled near the flat line on Friday, as traders weighed demand and supply position in the oil market. While data showing that Chinese economy recorded its slowest expansion in almost thirty years, growing just 6.1% in the year 2019, raised concerns about the outlook for energy demand, the signing of the trade deal and buoyant economic data from the U.S. helped ease these concerns. West Texas Intermediate Crude oil futures ended at $58.54 a barrel, gaining 2 cents for the session. Oil futures rose to $58.98 a barrel earlier in the session. For the week, crude oil futures shed about 0.8%. Brent crude futures ended up $0.23 at $64.85 a barrel. On Thursday, the International Energy Agency said in its report that it expects supply from OPEC will exceed demand for its crude, despite compliance with output cuts. OPEC too has said supply from non-OPEC nations too far exceeds demand for crude. According to a report released by Baker Hughes, the number of active U.S. oil rigs increased by 14 to 673 this week. Oil rig count had declined in the previous three weeks. The material has been provided by…

Treasuries Extend Pullback On Spike In Housing Starts

Extending the pullback seen over the course of the previous session, treasuries moved to the downside during trading on Friday. Bond prices regained some ground after seeing early weakness but remained stuck in the red. As a result, the yield on the benchmark ten-year note, which moves opposite of its price, rose by 2.7 basis points to 1.836 percent. The early drop by treasuries came after a report from the Commerce Department showed a substantial increase in U.S. housing starts in the month of December. The Commerce Department said housing starts skyrocketed by 16.9 percent to an annual rate of 1.608 million in December after jumping by 2.6 percent to a revised rate of 1.375 million in November. The surge came as a big surprise to economists, who had expected housing starts to rise by 0.7 percent to a rate of 1.375 million from the 1.365 million originally reported for the previous month. With the much bigger than expected increase, housing starts soared to their highest level since hitting a rate of 1.649 million in December of 2006. Meanwhile, the Federal Reserve released a report showing a modest pullback in U.S. industrial production in the month of December. The Fed…

U.S. Industrial Production Dips Amid Slump In Heating Demand

With utilities output plummeting amid a slump in demand for heating, the Federal Reserve released a report on Friday showing a modest pullback in U.S. industrial production in the month of December. The Fed said industrial production fell by 0.3 percent in December after climbing by a downwardly revised 0.8 percent in November. Economists had expected industrial production to dip by 0.2 percent compared to the 1.1 percent jump originally reported for the previous month. The pullback in production came as utilities output plunged by 5.6 percent in December after surging up by 1.0 percent in November, with unseasonably warm weather leading to a large decrease in demand for heating. Meanwhile, the report said manufacturing output crept up by 0.2 percent in December after spiking by 1.0 percent in November, while mining output jumped by 1.3 percent following a 0.2 percent decrease. The Fed also said capacity utilization for the industrial sector slid to 77.0 percent in December after climbing to an upwardly revised 77.4 percent in November. Economists had expected capacity utilization to slip to 77.1 percent from the 77.3 percent originally reported for the previous month. Capacity utilization in the utilities sector led the way lower, tumbling…

UK Retail Sales Fall Unexpectedly During Festive Season

UK retail sales declined unexpectedly even in festive season in December signaling that weak consumer spending weighed on economic growth in the last quarter of 2019. Retail sales volume, including auto fuel, dropped 0.6 percent month-on-month, following a 0.8 percent decrease in November, data from the Office for National Statistics showed Friday. This was the fifth consecutive month of no growth. Economists had forecast a monthly growth of 0.6 percent. Excluding auto fuel, retail sales fell 0.8 percent, the same pace of decline as logged in November and in contrast to the expected growth of 0.8 percent. Food store sales fell 1.3 percent, which was the largest drop since December 2016. At the same time, non-food store sales slid 0.9 percent in December. Meanwhile, automotive fuel sales advanced 1.6 percent. Annual growth in retail sales volume, including auto fuel, improved marginally to 0.9 percent from 0.8 percent a month ago. However, this was much slower than the expected growth of 2.7 percent. Similarly, excluding auto fuel, retail sales volume increased 0.7 percent after rising 0.6 percent in November. Economists had forecast an annual growth of 3 percent. In the fourth quarter, retail sales declined 1 percent….

Eurozone Construction Output Recovers In November

Eurozone construction output recovered in November, Eurostat reported Friday. Construction output increased 0.7 percent on a monthly basis, in contrast to a 0.5 percent fall in October. The recovery was driven by a 1.1 percent rise in building construction and a 0.3 percent rise in civil engineering. On a yearly basis, construction output growth accelerated to 1.4 percent from 0.9 percent a month ago. In the EU28, construction output increased 1.1 percent on month, taking the annual growth to 1.4 percent. The material has been provided by InstaForex Company – www.instaforex.com…

GBP/USD 01.17.2020 – Broken bearish flag on the daily time-frrame, watch for selling on rallies with main target at 1.2960

GBP has been trading downwards. The price tested and rejected of the level of 1.3120. I see further downside on the GBP and potential re-test of 1.2960 and 1.2910. The rejection of the Bollinger middle line is the early trigger for the downside. I also found potential for bearish outside candle. My advice is to watch for selling opportunities on the rallies using the hourly/4H time-frame.MACD oscillator is showing bearish stance and reading below the zeroMajor resistance is set at the price of 1.3120.Support levels and downward targets are set at the price of 1.2960 and 1.2910.The material has been provided by InstaForex Company – www.instaforex.com…

GBP/USD. January 17. We are waiting for a new sales signal. The Briton embarrassed in front of another weak statistics from

GBP/USD – 4H.

As seen on the 4-hour chart, the GBP/USD pair performed a consolidation above the corrective level of 23.6% (1.3048). Along with this consolidation, quotes of the pair closed above two trends and corridors. I have built a small correction line based on the movement of the last days, and if the pair closes below it, then traders will again be able to count on a reversal in favor of the US currency and a resumption of the fall in the direction of the corrective level of 0.0% (1.2904). As we can see, the goal remains the same, however, too long growth of the pound before the expected fall suggests a possible different scenario. In any case, I recommend trying to sell the pair when it is fixed below the Fibo level of 23.6% and the correction line. The “foundation”, in the case of the pound-dollar pair, remains in favor of the dollar. Retail sales in the UK declined by 0.6% m/m in December, with forecasts of +0.7%. These numbers were supposed to cause the British dollar to fall, however, the pair continues to trade with a small amplitude, showing no particular desire to move at the end of the…

Trading recommendations for EUR/USD

Using complex analysis, we can see that the correction phase from the range of 1.1080 reached its local peak. This was located near the level of 1.1180. Since Wednesday, the correction has been under pressure, confirmed by a temporary lateral movement, and the structure of which there were impulses, locally reaching the area of the control level with shadows. The amount of the change in the correction was much larger than initially considered, which is more than 50% relative to the downward movement since the beginning of the year.
Because of this, traders are not losing faith in the resumption of the downward trend, snd considers the recent correction as a kind of a variable component that does not carry a fracture of earlier bars. In fact, if the quote manages to fix at least below 1.1115, this theory will sparkle with new colors and most traders will believe in a downward move.
In terms of volatility, we have extremely stable indicators that are close to the average daily value. Such statistics confirm a rather good emotional background of the market, where both speculators and intraday traders get along, which cannot be said about conservative market participants.
Analyzing the past…

Trading recommendations for GBP/USD – prospects for further movement

From the point of view of a comprehensive analysis, we see a continuing upward interest from the area of the psychological level of 1.3000, where the quotes had previously found a foothold. In fact, we continue to observe the development of the theory of the Zigzag-shaped model [03.12.19-14.01.20], where the subsequent measure almost reached the control value. The most remarkable situation is that for several weeks there has been a gradual compression of the quote amplitude, which is just expressed in the Zigzag-shaped model. That is, the first correction phase of the Zigzag-shaped model had a value of 609 points, the second phase was already 329 points. The third phase has not yet arrived, since the pulse cycle has not yet been completed, but the deceleration is already evident. Hence, many traders agree that the market is preparing a platform to greatly accelerate quotes, which may come in the near future.
In terms of volatility, we have a kind of confirmation of the previously spoken words, that is, there is a slowdown in average daily indicators [95; 79; 57.57 points] from the beginning of the week. From the point of view of the emotional component, we see a similar picture,…

Technical analysis recommendations for EUR/USD and GBP/USD on January 17

Economic calendar (Universal time)
We are waiting for statistics from the eurozone in the morning. Among the important ones, it can be noted 9:30 (retail sales, UK) and 10:00 (consumer price index, EU). After lunch, the time will come for news from overseas (USA). The most significant indicators will be published at 13:30 (the number of issued building permits) and 15:00 (the number of open vacancies in the labor market).
EUR / USD
Yesterday, the players on the decline, having tested the resistance of the final level of the daily dead cross (1.1172), made an attempt to complete the rise again and move to an active decline. Today, we can expect a continued decline in the case of updating yesterday’s low (1.1128). At the same time, the main bearish landmarks remain in their places – 1.1110 (weekly levels) – 1.1065 (upper border of the daily cloud + weekly Kijun) – 1.1022 (lower border of the daily cloud + weekly Fibo Kijun). If the bears are unable to continue the pair, they will most likely remain within the zone of attraction in the near future, formed by the key levels of the daily dead cross (1.1141-53) and the monthly short-term…